Bayer Leverkusen win or draw (X2) hit ✓ · Confidence 67%
👀 Alternative: Over 2.5 · 62% ✓ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen. Main pick — Bayer Leverkusen win or draw (X2) (confidence 67%). 1. FC Köln recently scores 1.60 and concedes 1.40 per game (xG 1.57). Bayer Leverkusen — 2.30 scored, 1.40 conceded (xG 1.67). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 3.2. Form edge to Bayer Leverkusen. H2H average total is 2.90 goals. Bayer Leverkusen sit 7 places higher in the table.
| Metric | 1. FC Köln | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| Concedes | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xG | 1.57 | 1.67 |
| xGA | 1.10 | 2.13 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% |
| BTTS | 70% | 40% |
| Pts/game | 1.30 | 2.10 |
1. FC Köln — 13 of 18, 9 pts from 8 games, goals 9:12, form D-D-L-W-L. Bayer Leverkusen — 6 of 18, 13 pts from 8 games, goals 18:16, form L-L-W-W-W.
1. FC Köln at home in this competition: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded on average. Bayer Leverkusen away: 2.00 scored, 2.80 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Bayer Leverkusen: P. Schick (7), I. Maza (3).
For our pick (Bayer Leverkusen win or draw (X2)) the average price is 1.23, best 1.27. That price implies about 81%, our estimate is 67%. The market rates it higher than we do — the price is not attractive.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.91 | 4.21 |
| Draw | 4.12 | 4.45 |
| Away | 1.79 | 1.84 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.41 | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.86 | 3.00 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.40 | 1.42 |
| BTTS — no | 2.77 | 3.00 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Bayer Leverkusen win or draw (X2), 67% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.23, best 1.27 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 3.2 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
By points per game the edge is with Bayer Leverkusen.
Teams: 1. FC Köln · Bayer Leverkusen