Over 2.5 Preview · Confidence 65%
👀 Alternative: Away team under 1.5 goals · 62% (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). 1899 Hoffenheim recently scores 1.50 and concedes 1.60 per game (xG 1.69). FC Schalke 04 — 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (xG 0.59). The numbers point to a low-scoring game — expected total ≈ 2.5. H2H average total is 3.70 goals. 1899 Hoffenheim sit 5 places higher in the table.
| Metric | 1899 Hoffenheim | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Concedes | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| xG | 1.69 | 0.59 |
| xGA | 0.99 | 1.81 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 30% |
| BTTS | 60% | 30% |
| Pts/game | 1.10 | 1.20 |
1899 Hoffenheim — 12 of 18, 9 pts from 8 games, goals 14:16, form L-W-W-L-L. FC Schalke 04 — 17 of 18, 6 pts from 8 games, goals 4:9, form L-D-L-L-D (relegation zone).
1899 Hoffenheim at home in this competition: 2.30 scored, 1.80 conceded on average. FC Schalke 04 away: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded.
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.49, best 1.52. That price implies about 67%, our estimate is 65%. The estimates roughly match — no edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 1.65 |
| Draw | 4.36 | 4.62 |
| Away | 4.86 | 5.25 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.49 | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.58 | 2.66 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.53 | 1.55 |
| BTTS — no | 2.38 | 2.40 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.49, best 1.52 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 2.5 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
Teams: 1899 Hoffenheim · FC Schalke 04