Over 2.5 hit ✓ · Confidence 69%
👀 Alternative: Away team over 1.5 goals · 62% ✗ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 69%). ADO Den Haag recently scores 1.30 and concedes 1.90 per game (xG 1.48). Sparta Rotterdam — 1.90 scored, 2.60 conceded (xG 2.07). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 3.6. H2H average total is 2.60 goals. Sparta Rotterdam sit 6 places higher in the table.
| Metric | ADO Den Haag | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.30 | 1.90 |
| Concedes | 1.90 | 2.60 |
| xG | 1.48 | 2.07 |
| xGA | 1.87 | 1.74 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 100% |
| BTTS | 80% | 90% |
| Pts/game | 0.70 | 1.00 |
ADO Den Haag — 17 of 18, 6 pts from 11 games, goals 13:24, form L-L-W-D-D (relegation zone). Sparta Rotterdam — 11 of 18, 12 pts from 11 games, goals 20:26, form W-L-W-D-L.
ADO Den Haag at home in this competition: 1.60 scored, 2.40 conceded on average. Sparta Rotterdam away: 2.20 scored, 2.40 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Sparta Rotterdam: M. Zonneveld (7).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.56, best 1.60. That price implies about 64%, our estimate is 69%. We see an edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 2.55 |
| Draw | 3.57 | 3.70 |
| Away | 2.65 | 2.75 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.56 | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.38 | 2.45 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.47 | 1.50 |
| BTTS — no | 2.53 | 2.57 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 69% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.56, best 1.60 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 3.6 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
Teams: ADO Den Haag · Sparta Rotterdam