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Eredivisie
2026-09-19

Ajax — Excelsior

Over 2.5 hit ✓ · Confidence 75%

👀 Alternative: Both teams to score — Yes · 62% ✓ (not in the main record)

Market
Total 2.5
Score
2:2
Confidence
75%
Analysis

Why this pick

SharpBet prediction for Ajax vs Excelsior. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 75%). Ajax recently scores 3.30 and concedes 1.50 per game (xG 2.75). Excelsior — 2.80 scored, 1.20 conceded (xG 1.58). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 3.4. H2H average total is 5.10 goals.

Form & stats
MetricAjaxExcelsior
Scores3.302.80
Concedes1.501.20
xG2.751.58
xGA1.461.08
Over 2.590%90%
BTTS80%70%
Pts/game2.302.20
Recent matches

Ajax

  • W 5:1 — Willem II
  • W 5:1 — Fortuna Sittard
  • L 1:3 — PSV Eindhoven
  • W 4:0 — Telstar
  • W 5:3 — FC Sion

Excelsior

  • L 1:2 — Utrecht
  • D 2:2 — NEC Nijmegen
  • W 3:0 — Willem II
  • W 2:1 — Sparta Rotterdam
  • L 1:2 — PSV Eindhoven
FAQ

What is the prediction for Ajax vs Excelsior?

SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 75% confidence.

How many goals to expect in Ajax vs Excelsior?

Expected total ≈ 3.4 goals based on both teams' form and xG.

Key factors

Teams: Ajax · Excelsior