Ajax — NEC Nijmegen

Over 2.5 missed ✗ · Confidence 76%

👀 Alternative: Home team over 1.5 goals · 62% ✗ (not in the main record)

Market

Total 2.5

Score

1:1

Confidence

76%

Analysis

Why this pick

SharpBet prediction for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 76%). Ajax recently scores 3.20 and concedes 1.60 per game (xG 3.10). NEC Nijmegen — 1.40 scored, 2.30 conceded (xG 1.11). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 4.0. Form edge to Ajax. H2H average total is 2.80 goals.

Form & stats

Metric	Ajax	NEC Nijmegen
Scores	3.20	1.40
Concedes	1.60	2.30
xG	3.10	1.11
xGA	1.42	2.41
Over 2.5	90%	90%
BTTS	80%	70%
Pts/game	2.10	1.10

Recent matches

Ajax

D 2:2 — Excelsior
W 5:1 — Willem II
W 5:1 — Fortuna Sittard
L 1:3 — PSV Eindhoven
W 4:0 — Telstar

NEC Nijmegen

D 1:1 — GO Ahead Eagles
L 0:5 — Juventus
L 0:3 — Cambuur
D 2:2 — Excelsior
L 1:3 — Feyenoord

FAQ

What is the prediction for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?

SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 76% confidence.

How many goals to expect in Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?

Expected total ≈ 4.0 goals based on both teams' form and xG.

Who is the favorite in Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?

By points per game the edge is with Ajax.

Key factors

expected total ≈ 3.87, over 2.5 in ≈ 63% of recent games

Teams: Ajax · NEC Nijmegen