Over 2.5 missed ✗ · Confidence 65%
👀 Alternative: Away team under 1.5 goals · 62% ✓ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Arsenal vs Hull City. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). Arsenal recently scores 1.80 and concedes 1.00 per game (xG 1.70). Hull City — 1.00 scored, 1.20 conceded (xG 0.98). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 2.6. Form edge to Arsenal. H2H average total is 3.10 goals. Arsenal sit 10 places higher in the table.
| Metric | Arsenal | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Concedes | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| xG | 1.70 | 0.98 |
| xGA | 1.07 | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 40% |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% |
| Pts/game | 2.30 | 0.90 |
Arsenal — 1 of 20, 24 pts from 9 games, goals 14:5, form W-W-W-W-L (Champions League places). Hull City — 11 of 20, 11 pts from 9 games, goals 11:10, form D-D-L-D-L.
Arsenal at home in this competition: 2.30 scored, 0.50 conceded on average. Hull City away: 1.00 scored, 1.30 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Arsenal: K. Havertz (3); Hull City: M. Belloumi (3).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.49, best 1.53. That price implies about 67%, our estimate is 65%. The estimates roughly match — no edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 1.18 |
| Draw | 7.65 | 8.50 |
| Away | 16.71 | 19.00 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.49 | 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.55 | 2.63 |
| BTTS — yes | 2.29 | 2.45 |
| BTTS — no | 1.56 | 1.62 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.49, best 1.53 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 2.6 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
By points per game the edge is with Arsenal.