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La Liga
2026-09-19

Athletic Club — Alaves

Over 2.5 missed ✗ · Confidence 65%

👀 Alternative: 1st half under 1.5 · 59% ✓ (not in the main record)

Market
Total 2.5
Score
0:0
Confidence
65%
Analysis

Why this pick

SharpBet prediction for Athletic Club vs Alaves. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). Athletic Club recently scores 1.33 and concedes 1.44 per game (xG 1.71). Alaves — 1.70 scored, 0.80 conceded (xG 1.26). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 3.0. Form edge to Alaves. H2H average total is 1.90 goals.

Form & stats
MetricAthletic ClubAlaves
Scores1.331.70
Concedes1.440.80
xG1.711.26
xGA1.711.42
Over 2.556%40%
BTTS44%50%
Pts/game1.111.80
Recent matches

Athletic Club

  • D 1:1 — Elche
  • W 3:0 — Atletico Madrid
  • W 2:0 — Celta Vigo
  • L 0:2 — Barcelona
  • L 1:3 — Sevilla

Alaves

  • L 0:1 — Valencia
  • L 1:2 — Racing Santander
  • W 5:2 — Osasuna
  • W 1:0 — Villarreal
  • D 1:1 — Rayo Vallecano
FAQ

What is the prediction for Athletic Club vs Alaves?

SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.

How many goals to expect in Athletic Club vs Alaves?

Expected total ≈ 3.0 goals based on both teams' form and xG.

Who is the favorite in Athletic Club vs Alaves?

By points per game the edge is with Alaves.

Key factors

Teams: Athletic Club · Alaves