Over 2.5 hit ✓ · Confidence 69%
👀 Alternative: Home team over 1.5 goals · 62% ✓ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Austria Lustenau vs Grazer AK. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 69%). Austria Lustenau recently scores 2.00 and concedes 2.60 per game (xG 0.99). Grazer AK — 1.30 scored, 1.90 conceded (xG 1.40). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 4.2. H2H average total is 2.29 goals.
| Metric | Austria Lustenau | Grazer AK |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 2.00 | 1.30 |
| Concedes | 2.60 | 1.90 |
| xG | 0.99 | 1.40 |
| xGA | 3.71 | 2.22 |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 60% |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% |
| Pts/game | 1.20 | 1.30 |
Austria Lustenau — 10 of 12, 8 pts from 11 games, goals 13:29, form L-L-L-L-W (relegation zone). Grazer AK — 9 of 12, 10 pts from 11 games, goals 8:27, form L-D-L-D-D (relegation zone).
Austria Lustenau at home in this competition: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded on average. Grazer AK away: 0.70 scored, 3.30 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Austria Lustenau: D. Weixelbraun (6), A. Verinac (3); Grazer AK: A. Hofleitner (4).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.72, best 1.75. That price implies about 58%, our estimate is 69%. We see an edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 2.87 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.56 |
| Away | 2.39 | 2.57 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.72 | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.08 | 2.21 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.57 | 1.62 |
| BTTS — no | 2.26 | 2.35 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 69% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.72, best 1.75 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 4.2 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
Teams: Austria Lustenau · Grazer AK