Over 2.5 Preview · Confidence 65%
👀 Alternative: Away team under 1.5 goals · 62% (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). Baltika recently scores 1.10 and concedes 1.10 per game (xG 1.63). Dinamo Makhachkala — 1.00 scored, 2.20 conceded (xG 0.83). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 2.7. Form edge to Baltika. H2H average total is 2.43 goals.
| Metric | Baltika | Dinamo Makhachkala |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| Concedes | 1.10 | 2.20 |
| xG | 1.63 | 0.83 |
| xGA | 0.87 | 2.14 |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| Pts/game | 1.10 | 0.70 |
Baltika — 7 of 16, 17 pts from 13 games, goals 17:14, form W-D-D-D-L. Dinamo Makhachkala — 11 of 16, 13 pts from 13 games, goals 16:26, form L-L-D-L-L.
Baltika at home in this competition: 1.10 scored, 1.30 conceded on average. Dinamo Makhachkala away: 1.40 scored, 2.40 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Baltika: B. Gil (5); Dinamo Makhachkala: G. Agalarov (5).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 2.48, best 2.53. That price implies about 40%, our estimate is 65%. We see an edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 1.76 |
| Draw | 3.51 | 3.67 |
| Away | 5.34 | 5.69 |
| Over 2.5 | 2.48 | 2.53 |
| Under 2.5 | 1.58 | 1.62 |
| BTTS — yes | 2.25 | 2.25 |
| BTTS — no | 1.58 | 1.58 |
Odds from 5 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 2.48, best 2.53 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 2.7 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
By points per game the edge is with Baltika.
Teams: Baltika · Dinamo Makhachkala