Over 2.5 goals hit ✓ · Confidence 89%
This is the second leg at Aspmyra after a chaotic 3-3 opener, so both defenses have already shown cracks and a playoff spot is on the line. Bodo/Glimt arrive flying — five wins in their last six and roughly an 83% home win rate, averaging over 2.5 goals per game in Bodo. The fresh context matters: Mikkelsen and Evjen stay sidelined for the hosts, but the bigger story is Union's goalkeeping mess — Scherpen left for Ipswich and his replacement Koffi isn't registered for the qualifiers, leaving young Chambaere in goal behind a patched-up back line. Crucially, with away goals abolished Union must score and open up to advance, which plays straight into Glimt's fast, front-foot game. The one real risk is that this is a knockout leg and Union are good at strangling matches — three draws in their last six hint at a cagey, one-goal-decides scenario. Still, with the tie wide open and a shaky visiting defense, a high-scoring night is well supported. I trim the inflated 100 to a realistic figure but keep the pick confident.