Over 2.5 hit ✓ · Confidence 69%
👀 Alternative: Home team over 1.5 goals · 61% ✓ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 69%). Borussia Dortmund recently scores 1.60 and concedes 0.90 per game (xG 1.59). SV Elversberg — 1.70 scored, 2.00 conceded (xG 1.82). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 3.8. Form edge to Borussia Dortmund. Borussia Dortmund sit 5 places higher in the table.
| Metric | Borussia Dortmund | SV Elversberg |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.60 | 1.70 |
| Concedes | 0.90 | 2.00 |
| xG | 1.59 | 1.82 |
| xGA | 1.96 | 2.14 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 70% |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% |
| Pts/game | 2.10 | 1.30 |
Borussia Dortmund — 2 of 18, 18 pts from 8 games, goals 14:6, form D-W-D-D-W (Champions League places). SV Elversberg — 7 of 18, 13 pts from 8 games, goals 16:16, form W-L-W-L-D.
Borussia Dortmund at home in this competition: 2.00 scored, 0.50 conceded on average. SV Elversberg away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Borussia Dortmund: S. Guirassy (3); SV Elversberg: M. Krattenmacher (4).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.31, best 1.35. That price implies about 76%, our estimate is 69%. The market rates it higher than we do — the price is not attractive.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 1.32 |
| Draw | 6.09 | 6.58 |
| Away | 8.36 | 9.50 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.31 | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 3.33 | 3.50 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.57 | 1.60 |
| BTTS — no | 2.28 | 2.30 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 69% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.31, best 1.35 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 3.8 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
By points per game the edge is with Borussia Dortmund.
Teams: Borussia Dortmund · SV Elversberg