Over 2.5 missed ✗ · Confidence 65%
👀 Alternative: Home team over 1.5 goals · 62% ✓ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Brighton vs Brentford. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). Brighton recently scores 2.10 and concedes 0.60 per game (xG 1.51). Brentford — 1.70 scored, 1.30 conceded (xG 1.48). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 2.8. Form edge to Brighton. H2H average total is 2.50 goals.
| Metric | Brighton | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| Concedes | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| xG | 1.51 | 1.48 |
| xGA | 0.99 | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% |
| BTTS | 20% | 80% |
| Pts/game | 2.30 | 1.40 |
Brighton — 3 of 20, 19 pts from 9 games, goals 24:7, form W-L-W-W-W (Champions League places). Brentford — 6 of 20, 14 pts from 9 games, goals 16:9, form W-D-L-D-W.
Brighton at home in this competition: 3.30 scored, 0.30 conceded on average. Brentford away: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Brighton: C. Kostoulas (3), Y. Ayari (3); Brentford: K. Schade (3).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.58, best 1.64. That price implies about 63%, our estimate is 65%. The estimates roughly match — no edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 1.98 |
| Draw | 3.82 | 4.05 |
| Away | 3.65 | 3.80 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.58 | 1.64 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.36 | 2.47 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.52 | 1.57 |
| BTTS — no | 2.41 | 2.55 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.58, best 1.64 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 2.8 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
By points per game the edge is with Brighton.