Over 2.5 Final — lineups confirmed · Confidence 65%
👀 Alternative: Away team under 1.5 goals · 62% (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Celta Vigo vs Levante. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). Celta Vigo recently scores 1.20 and concedes 1.10 per game (xG 1.15). Levante — 1.60 scored, 1.80 conceded (xG 1.15). The numbers point to a low-scoring game — expected total ≈ 2.5. H2H average total is 3.30 goals. Celta Vigo sit 5 places higher in the table.
| Metric | Celta Vigo | Levante |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Concedes | 1.10 | 1.80 |
| xG | 1.15 | 1.15 |
| xGA | 1.26 | 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% |
| BTTS | 50% | 70% |
| Pts/game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
Celta Vigo — 12 of 20, 12 pts from 11 games, goals 10:10, form L-D-W-D-W. Levante — 17 of 20, 10 pts from 11 games, goals 16:21, form L-L-W-D-D.
Celta Vigo at home in this competition: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded on average. Levante away: 0.50 scored, 1.50 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Levante: Brugui (5).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.90, best 1.97. That price implies about 53%, our estimate is 65%. We see an edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 1.87 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| Away | 4.45 | 4.75 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.90 | 1.97 |
| Under 2.5 | 1.94 | 2.01 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.74 | 1.80 |
| BTTS — no | 2.00 | 2.05 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.90, best 1.97 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 2.5 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
Teams: Celta Vigo · Levante