Over 2.5 hit ✓ · Confidence 65%
👀 Alternative: Away team over 1.5 goals · 62% ✓ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). Crystal Palace recently scores 0.90 and concedes 1.80 per game (xG 0.87). Liverpool — 2.10 scored, 1.60 conceded (xG 1.59). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 2.9. Form edge to Liverpool. H2H average total is 2.30 goals. Liverpool sit 13 places higher in the table.
| Metric | Crystal Palace | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 0.90 | 2.10 |
| Concedes | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| xG | 0.87 | 1.59 |
| xGA | 1.84 | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% |
| Pts/game | 0.90 | 1.90 |
Crystal Palace — 18 of 20, 7 pts from 9 games, goals 9:21, form L-L-L-W-D (relegation zone). Liverpool — 5 of 20, 15 pts from 9 games, goals 11:9, form L-W-W-L-W (Europa League places).
Crystal Palace at home in this competition: 1.50 scored, 2.50 conceded on average. Liverpool away: 1.80 scored, 0.80 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Liverpool: A. Isak (6).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.55, best 1.60. That price implies about 65%, our estimate is 65%. The estimates roughly match — no edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.25 | 5.60 |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.57 |
| Away | 1.58 | 1.66 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.55 | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.39 | 2.50 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.60 | 1.62 |
| BTTS — no | 2.24 | 2.30 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.55, best 1.60 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 2.9 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
By points per game the edge is with Liverpool.
Teams: Crystal Palace · Liverpool