Under 2.5 hit ✓ · Confidence 65%
👀 Alternative: Home team under 1.5 goals · 61% ✓ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna. Main pick — Under 2.5 (confidence 65%). Espanyol recently scores 1.20 and concedes 1.60 per game (xG 0.43). Deportivo La Coruna — 1.30 scored, 1.40 conceded (xG 1.83). The numbers point to a low-scoring game — expected total ≈ 2.5. H2H average total is 1.80 goals. Deportivo La Coruna sit 6 places higher in the table.
| Metric | Espanyol | Deportivo La Coruna |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| Concedes | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| xG | 0.43 | 1.83 |
| xGA | 1.57 | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS | 70% | 70% |
| Pts/game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
Espanyol — 14 of 20, 11 pts from 11 games, goals 13:14, form W-L-L-D-L. Deportivo La Coruna — 8 of 20, 14 pts from 11 games, goals 15:14, form W-L-D-L-D.
Espanyol at home in this competition: 1.20 scored, 1.40 conceded on average. Deportivo La Coruna away: 1.40 scored, 1.60 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Espanyol: Roberto Fernández (6); Deportivo La Coruna: P. Aubameyang (5).
For our pick (Under 2.5) the average price is 1.81, best 1.86. That price implies about 55%, our estimate is 65%. We see an edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 2.37 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.43 |
| Away | 3.15 | 3.41 |
| Over 2.5 | 2.03 | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 1.81 | 1.86 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.76 | 1.80 |
| BTTS — no | 1.97 | 2.00 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Under 2.5, 65% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.81, best 1.86 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 2.5 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
Teams: Espanyol · Deportivo La Coruna