Over 2.5 Preview · Confidence 65%
👀 Alternative: 1st half under 1.5 · 59% (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Estoril vs Maritimo. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). Estoril recently scores 0.50 and concedes 1.90 per game (xG 1.31). Maritimo — 0.90 scored, 2.30 conceded (xG 0.92). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 2.8. H2H average total is 2.00 goals.
| Metric | Estoril | Maritimo |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| Concedes | 1.90 | 2.30 |
| xG | 1.31 | 0.92 |
| xGA | 1.86 | 1.49 |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 80% |
| BTTS | 50% | 70% |
| Pts/game | 0.20 | 0.50 |
Estoril — 18 of 18, 2 pts from 10 games, goals 5:19, form L-L-L-L-L (relegation zone). Maritimo — 14 of 18, 8 pts from 10 games, goals 9:21, form L-L-L-D-L.
Estoril at home in this competition: 0.60 scored, 1.60 conceded on average. Maritimo away: 1.00 scored, 2.40 conceded.
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.88, best 1.93. That price implies about 53%, our estimate is 65%. We see an edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 2.14 |
| Draw | 3.42 | 3.58 |
| Away | 3.42 | 3.60 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.88 | 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 | 1.91 | 1.96 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.70 | 1.72 |
| BTTS — no | 2.05 | 2.05 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.88, best 1.93 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 2.8 goals based on both teams' form and xG.