Over 2.5 missed ✗ · Confidence 69%
👀 Alternative: GO Ahead Eagles win or draw (X2) · 67% ✓ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 69%). Excelsior recently scores 1.40 and concedes 2.60 per game (xG 0.66). GO Ahead Eagles — 2.20 scored, 2.40 conceded (xG 1.46). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 3.2. H2H average total is 2.22 goals. GO Ahead Eagles sit 5 places higher in the table.
| Metric | Excelsior | GO Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Concedes | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| xG | 0.66 | 1.46 |
| xGA | 2.56 | 1.64 |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 80% |
| BTTS | 50% | 80% |
| Pts/game | 1.10 | 1.30 |
Excelsior — 15 of 18, 11 pts from 11 games, goals 16:28, form L-L-L-L-D. GO Ahead Eagles — 10 of 18, 14 pts from 11 games, goals 23:27, form L-W-L-D-D.
Excelsior at home in this competition: 1.00 scored, 3.80 conceded on average. GO Ahead Eagles away: 1.50 scored, 3.20 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): GO Ahead Eagles: S. Tengstedt (8).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.48, best 1.53. That price implies about 68%, our estimate is 69%. The estimates roughly match — no edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 2.83 |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.80 |
| Away | 2.36 | 2.45 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.48 | 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.56 | 2.65 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.41 | 1.44 |
| BTTS — no | 2.71 | 2.77 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 69% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.48, best 1.53 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 3.2 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
Teams: Excelsior · GO Ahead Eagles