Over 2.5 hit ✓ · Confidence 65%
👀 Alternative: Yellow cards over 3.5 · 59% ✗ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). FC Krasnodar recently scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50 per game (xG 1.11). CSKA Moscow — 2.10 scored, 1.00 conceded (xG 0.69). The numbers point to a low-scoring game — expected total ≈ 1.9. Form edge to CSKA Moscow. H2H average total is 2.70 goals.
| Metric | FC Krasnodar | CSKA Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.50 | 2.10 |
| Concedes | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| xG | 1.11 | 0.69 |
| xGA | 0.91 | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 70% |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% |
| Pts/game | 1.10 | 2.00 |
FC Krasnodar — 5 of 16, 23 pts from 13 games, goals 21:16, form L-D-D-L-D. CSKA Moscow — 3 of 16, 26 pts from 13 games, goals 21:12, form D-W-L-W-W.
FC Krasnodar at home in this competition: 1.50 scored, 1.20 conceded on average. CSKA Moscow away: 1.60 scored, 1.40 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): FC Krasnodar: Batxi (4), J. Córdoba (4); CSKA Moscow: I. Oblyakov (7), I. Oleynikov (3).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.78, best 1.82. That price implies about 56%, our estimate is 65%. We see an edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 2.15 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.81 |
| Away | 3.30 | 3.46 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.78 | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.09 | 2.14 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.61 | 1.61 |
| BTTS — no | 2.19 | 2.20 |
Odds from 5 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.78, best 1.82 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 1.9 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
By points per game the edge is with CSKA Moscow.
Teams: FC Krasnodar · CSKA Moscow