Over 2.5 hit ✓ · Confidence 76%
👀 Alternative: Home team over 1.5 goals · 62% ✗ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for FC Vaduz vs FC Sion. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 76%). FC Vaduz recently scores 3.90 and concedes 1.70 per game (xG 2.05). FC Sion — 1.90 scored, 1.80 conceded (xG 2.15). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 3.7. H2H average total is 3.40 goals. FC Sion sit 7 places higher in the table.
| Metric | FC Vaduz | FC Sion |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 3.90 | 1.90 |
| Concedes | 1.70 | 1.80 |
| xG | 2.05 | 2.15 |
| xGA | 1.87 | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 60% |
| BTTS | 80% | 60% |
| Pts/game | 1.30 | 1.70 |
FC Vaduz — 10 of 12, 10 pts from 12 games, goals 24:25, form D-L-W-L-L (relegation zone). FC Sion — 3 of 12, 23 pts from 12 games, goals 25:18, form D-W-L-D-W.
FC Vaduz at home in this competition: 2.80 scored, 1.60 conceded on average. FC Sion away: 2.20 scored, 1.80 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): FC Vaduz: M. Monsberger (6), L. Dalipi (5); FC Sion: Winsley Boteli Mokango (6), J. Lukembila (3).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.35, best 1.38. That price implies about 74%, our estimate is 76%. The estimates roughly match — no edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.20 | 3.31 |
| Draw | 3.93 | 4.10 |
| Away | 1.96 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.35 | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.99 | 3.10 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.35 | 1.37 |
| BTTS — no | 2.95 | 3.00 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 76% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.35, best 1.38 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 3.7 goals based on both teams' form and xG.