Over 2.5 Preview · Confidence 65%
👀 Alternative: Juventus win or draw (X2) · 60% (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Fiorentina vs Juventus. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). Fiorentina recently scores 1.80 and concedes 1.90 per game (xG 1.58). Juventus — 1.30 scored, 1.10 conceded (xG 0.96). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 2.7. Form edge to Juventus. H2H average total is 2.00 goals. Juventus sit 9 places higher in the table.
| Metric | Fiorentina | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.80 | 1.30 |
| Concedes | 1.90 | 1.10 |
| xG | 1.58 | 0.96 |
| xGA | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 40% |
| BTTS | 80% | 40% |
| Pts/game | 1.10 | 1.70 |
Fiorentina — 16 of 20, 8 pts from 10 games, goals 15:23, form W-D-L-L-L. Juventus — 7 of 20, 17 pts from 10 games, goals 13:10, form W-L-W-L-D.
Fiorentina at home in this competition: 1.00 scored, 2.20 conceded on average. Juventus away: 1.20 scored, 1.20 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Fiorentina: Franco Mastantuono (4).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.79, best 1.84. That price implies about 56%, our estimate is 65%. We see an edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.42 | 3.70 |
| Draw | 3.54 | 3.70 |
| Away | 2.08 | 2.14 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.79 | 1.84 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.05 | 2.12 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.63 | 1.67 |
| BTTS — no | 2.18 | 2.25 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.79, best 1.84 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 2.7 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
By points per game the edge is with Juventus.
Teams: Fiorentina · Juventus