Over 2.5 hit ✓ · Confidence 65%
👀 Alternative: Home team over 1.5 goals · 62% ✓ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). FK Crvena Zvezda recently scores 2.80 and concedes 1.00 per game (xG 2.33). Inter Club d'Escaldes — 1.80 scored, 1.00 conceded (xG 0.48). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 2.6. Form edge to FK Crvena Zvezda. FK Crvena Zvezda sit 13 places higher in the table.
| Metric | FK Crvena Zvezda | Inter Club d'Escaldes |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| Concedes | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xG | 2.33 | 0.48 |
| xGA | 0.66 | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 50% |
| BTTS | 60% | 30% |
| Pts/game | 2.50 | 1.70 |
FK Crvena Zvezda — 22 of 36, 1 pts from 2 games, goals 4:5, form D-L (Conference League places). Inter Club d'Escaldes — 35 of 36, 0 pts from 2 games, goals 1:5, form L-L.
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.28, best 1.33. That price implies about 78%, our estimate is 65%. The market rates it higher than we do — the price is not attractive.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.06 | 1.08 |
| Draw | 11.57 | 15.50 |
| Away | 31.81 | 50.00 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.28 | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 3.43 | 3.53 |
| BTTS — yes | 2.55 | 2.70 |
| BTTS — no | 1.46 | 1.50 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.28, best 1.33 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 2.6 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
By points per game the edge is with FK Crvena Zvezda.
Teams: FK Crvena Zvezda · Inter Club d'Escaldes