Over 2.5 missed ✗ · Confidence 65%
👀 Alternative: Corners over 9.5 · 60% ✗ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Fulham vs Newcastle. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). Fulham recently scores 1.00 and concedes 1.10 per game (xG 1.44). Newcastle — 1.20 scored, 1.60 conceded (xG 1.36). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 2.7. H2H average total is 2.70 goals.
| Metric | Fulham | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Concedes | 1.10 | 1.60 |
| xG | 1.44 | 1.36 |
| xGA | 0.78 | 1.86 |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 50% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| Pts/game | 1.20 | 1.30 |
Fulham — 15 of 20, 9 pts from 9 games, goals 9:11, form D-W-W-L-D. Newcastle — 13 of 20, 11 pts from 9 games, goals 12:15, form L-W-L-L-W.
Fulham at home in this competition: 1.50 scored, 1.80 conceded on average. Newcastle away: 1.50 scored, 2.00 conceded.
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.65, best 1.71. That price implies about 61%, our estimate is 65%. We see an edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 2.16 |
| Draw | 3.67 | 3.88 |
| Away | 3.36 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.65 | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.25 | 2.32 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.55 | 1.57 |
| BTTS — no | 2.33 | 2.45 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.65, best 1.71 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 2.7 goals based on both teams' form and xG.