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Serie A
2026-10-10

Genoa — Fiorentina

Over 2.5 hit ✓ · Confidence 65%

👀 Alternative: Away team over 1.5 goals · 62% ✗ (not in the main record)

Market
Total 2.5
Score
2:1
Confidence
65%
Analysis

Why this pick

SharpBet prediction for Genoa vs Fiorentina. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). Genoa recently scores 0.90 and concedes 2.40 per game (xG 1.12). Fiorentina — 1.78 scored, 1.78 conceded (xG 2.49). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 2.8. Form edge to Fiorentina. H2H average total is 2.80 goals.

Form & stats
MetricGenoaFiorentina
Scores0.901.78
Concedes2.401.78
xG1.122.49
xGA1.410.53
Over 2.540%78%
BTTS50%67%
Pts/game0.701.33
Recent matches

Genoa

  • L 0:2 — Rapid
  • L 1:2 — Parma
  • W 1:0 — Sudtirol
  • D 1:1 — Frosinone
  • L 1:4 — Como

Fiorentina

  • D 1:1 — Napoli
  • W 3:0 — Pisa
  • W 4:2 — Venezia
  • L 1:2 — Torino
  • L 0:3 — Frosinone
FAQ

What is the prediction for Genoa vs Fiorentina?

SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.

How many goals to expect in Genoa vs Fiorentina?

Expected total ≈ 2.8 goals based on both teams' form and xG.

Who is the favorite in Genoa vs Fiorentina?

By points per game the edge is with Fiorentina.

Key factors

Teams: Genoa · Fiorentina