Over 2.5 missed ✗ · Confidence 65%
👀 Alternative: Away team under 1.5 goals · 62% ✓ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Gent vs Kortrijk. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). Gent recently scores 1.60 and concedes 0.90 per game (xG 1.30). Kortrijk — 0.60 scored, 2.10 conceded (xG 1.40). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 2.6. Form edge to Gent. H2H average total is 2.80 goals. Gent sit 15 places higher in the table.
| Metric | Gent | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Concedes | 0.90 | 2.10 |
| xG | 1.30 | 1.40 |
| xGA | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% |
| Pts/game | 1.80 | 0.50 |
Gent — 3 of 18, 25 pts from 10 games, goals 19:6, form L-W-W-W-D (Europa League places). Kortrijk — 18 of 18, 4 pts from 10 games, goals 4:22, form L-D-L-W-L (relegation zone).
Gent at home in this competition: 2.20 scored, 0.40 conceded on average. Kortrijk away: 0.20 scored, 2.20 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Gent: I. Cisse (4).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.73, best 1.79. That price implies about 58%, our estimate is 65%. We see an edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 1.48 |
| Draw | 4.29 | 4.52 |
| Away | 6.59 | 7.38 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.73 | 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.09 | 2.13 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.88 | 1.95 |
| BTTS — no | 1.83 | 1.88 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.73, best 1.79 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 2.6 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
By points per game the edge is with Gent.