Away win — Dinamo Zagreb hit ✓ · Confidence 71%
This is the CL third-round second leg in Kaunas, and the tie is already dead: Dinamo hammered Kauno Žalgiris 5-0 at Maksimir with five different scorers, underlining Mario Kovačević's squad depth. The Lithuanian champions (2025 title winners) are simply outclassed physically and technically, and coach Željko Sopić — returning against his former club — concedes his side's form offers little hope. Backing the away win is sound because even a second-string Dinamo is stronger in every department. The real risk is that with progression secured, both managers are expected to rotate heavily — previews explicitly flag the XIs as speculative — and in a formality like this a favourite's edge and motivation drop, making an away draw a live outcome. Dinamo's class should still tell, but a 91 rating on a rotated away side in a meaningless leg is too high. I lower the confidence while keeping the market.