Over 2.5 missed ✗ · Confidence 65%
👀 Alternative: Home team under 1.5 goals · 62% ✗ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). Krylia Sovetov recently scores 1.50 and concedes 1.20 per game (xG 0.81). FC Orenburg — 1.60 scored, 0.90 conceded (xG 1.84). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 2.7. H2H average total is 3.00 goals.
| Metric | Krylia Sovetov | FC Orenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Concedes | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| xG | 0.81 | 1.84 |
| xGA | 1.29 | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% |
| Pts/game | 1.50 | 1.80 |
Krylia Sovetov — 9 of 16, 15 pts from 13 games, goals 17:20, form L-W-L-D-D. FC Orenburg — 8 of 16, 17 pts from 13 games, goals 14:12, form D-W-D-W-D.
Krylia Sovetov at home in this competition: 1.00 scored, 2.10 conceded on average. FC Orenburg away: 0.80 scored, 0.80 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Krylia Sovetov: A. Rahmanović (4); FC Orenburg: J. Thompson (4).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.86, best 1.90. That price implies about 54%, our estimate is 65%. We see an edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 2.46 |
| Draw | 3.46 | 3.67 |
| Away | 2.86 | 2.97 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.86 | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 | 1.99 | 2.04 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.65 | 1.65 |
| BTTS — no | 2.12 | 2.13 |
Odds from 5 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.86, best 1.90 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 2.7 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
Teams: Krylia Sovetov · FC Orenburg