Over 2.5 Final — lineups confirmed · Confidence 65%
👀 Alternative: Home team under 1.5 goals · 62% (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Le Havre vs Lorient. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). Le Havre recently scores 1.50 and concedes 2.10 per game (xG 1.97). Lorient — 0.80 scored, 1.20 conceded (xG 1.18). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 3.2. Form edge to Lorient. H2H average total is 2.89 goals. Lorient sit 6 places higher in the table.
| Metric | Le Havre | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| Concedes | 2.10 | 1.20 |
| xG | 1.97 | 1.18 |
| xGA | 2.40 | 0.81 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 40% |
| BTTS | 70% | 40% |
| Pts/game | 0.50 | 1.20 |
Le Havre — 18 of 18, 2 pts from 9 games, goals 9:20, form L-L-L-L-L (relegation zone). Lorient — 12 of 18, 12 pts from 9 games, goals 7:8, form L-D-W-W-L.
Le Havre at home in this competition: 0.60 scored, 2.20 conceded on average. Lorient away: 0.50 scored, 0.50 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Le Havre: J. Maja (4).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 2.06, best 2.12. That price implies about 49%, our estimate is 65%. We see an edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.98 | 3.18 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.51 |
| Away | 2.41 | 2.48 |
| Over 2.5 | 2.06 | 2.12 |
| Under 2.5 | 1.78 | 1.84 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.77 | 1.80 |
| BTTS — no | 1.97 | 2.05 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 2.06, best 2.12 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 3.2 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
By points per game the edge is with Lorient.