Monaco win or draw (1X) hit ✓ · Confidence 67%
👀 Alternative: Over 2.5 · 62% ✗ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland. Main pick — Monaco win or draw (1X) (confidence 67%). Monaco recently scores 1.60 and concedes 1.10 per game (xG 1.19). FC Nordsjaelland — 1.40 scored, 1.70 conceded (xG 2.17). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 3.2. Form edge to Monaco. Monaco sit 13 places higher in the table.
| Metric | Monaco | FC Nordsjaelland |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Concedes | 1.10 | 1.70 |
| xG | 1.19 | 2.17 |
| xGA | 1.37 | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% |
| Pts/game | 1.80 | 1.10 |
Monaco — 6 of 36, 6 pts from 2 games, goals 5:1, form W-W (Conference League places). FC Nordsjaelland — 19 of 36, 2 pts from 2 games, goals 3:3, form D-D (Conference League places).
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Monaco: Paris Josua Brunner (4); FC Nordsjaelland: N. Røjkjær (4).
For our pick (Monaco win or draw (1X)) the average price is 1.12, best 1.14. That price implies about 89%, our estimate is 67%. The market rates it higher than we do — the price is not attractive.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 1.47 |
| Draw | 4.81 | 5.20 |
| Away | 6.14 | 6.54 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.43 | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.70 | 2.88 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.57 | 1.62 |
| BTTS — no | 2.27 | 2.38 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Monaco win or draw (1X), 67% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.12, best 1.14 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 3.2 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
By points per game the edge is with Monaco.
Teams: Monaco · FC Nordsjaelland