Bologna win or draw (X2) hit ✓ · Confidence 67%
👀 Alternative: Over 2.5 · 65% ✓ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Parma vs Bologna. Main pick — Bologna win or draw (X2) (confidence 67%). Parma recently scores 0.80 and concedes 1.60 per game (xG 1.03). Bologna — 1.40 scored, 1.30 conceded (xG 1.72). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 3.3. Form edge to Bologna. H2H average total is 3.10 goals. Bologna sit 6 places higher in the table.
| Metric | Parma | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Concedes | 1.60 | 1.30 |
| xG | 1.03 | 1.72 |
| xGA | 1.94 | 1.84 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% |
| Pts/game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
Parma — 15 of 20, 8 pts from 10 games, goals 8:15, form W-D-L-L-L. Bologna — 9 of 20, 14 pts from 10 games, goals 14:13, form W-W-W-L-W.
Parma at home in this competition: 0.60 scored, 1.20 conceded on average. Bologna away: 1.60 scored, 1.00 conceded.
For our pick (Bologna win or draw (X2)) the average price is 1.20, best 1.24. That price implies about 83%, our estimate is 67%. The market rates it higher than we do — the price is not attractive.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.41 | 4.63 |
| Draw | 3.48 | 3.68 |
| Away | 1.85 | 1.89 |
| Over 2.5 | 2.15 | 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 1.72 | 1.79 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.93 | 1.95 |
| BTTS — no | 1.80 | 1.83 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Bologna win or draw (X2), 67% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.20, best 1.24 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 3.3 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
By points per game the edge is with Bologna.