SharpBet prediction for Rennes vs Lille. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). Rennes recently scores 1.60 and concedes 1.80 per game (xG 1.74). Lille — 1.10 scored, 1.20 conceded (xG 1.28). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 3.1. H2H average total is 2.90 goals.
| Metric | Rennes | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.60 | 1.10 |
| Concedes | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| xG | 1.74 | 1.28 |
| xGA | 1.94 | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 40% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| Pts/game | 1.20 | 1.50 |
Rennes — 5 of 18, 16 pts from 9 games, goals 20:19, form L-W-L-W-L (Europa League places). Lille — 2 of 18, 18 pts from 9 games, goals 12:6, form W-D-D-W-L (Champions League places).
Rennes at home in this competition: 2.60 scored, 1.00 conceded on average. Lille away: 1.30 scored, 0.80 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Rennes: E. Lepaul (7), S. Szymański (4).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.62, best 1.69. That price implies about 62%, our estimate is 65%. The estimates roughly match — no edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 2.20 |
| Draw | 3.66 | 3.90 |
| Away | 3.13 | 3.30 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.62 | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.31 | 2.38 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.52 | 1.57 |
| BTTS — no | 2.41 | 2.50 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.62, best 1.69 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 3.1 goals based on both teams' form and xG.