Over 2.5 hit ✓ · Confidence 76%
👀 Alternative: Both teams to score — Yes · 65% ✓ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Ried vs Lask Linz. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 76%). Ried recently scores 2.70 and concedes 2.00 per game (xG 1.62). Lask Linz — 2.70 scored, 2.20 conceded (xG 2.27). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 3.7. H2H average total is 3.30 goals.
| Metric | Ried | Lask Linz |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 2.70 | 2.70 |
| Concedes | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| xG | 1.62 | 2.27 |
| xGA | 1.72 | 1.77 |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 90% |
| BTTS | 100% | 70% |
| Pts/game | 1.60 | 1.90 |
Ried — 6 of 12, 16 pts from 11 games, goals 19:18, form D-D-W-W-W (promotion places). Lask Linz — 3 of 12, 22 pts from 11 games, goals 26:13, form W-L-W-L-D (promotion places).
Ried at home in this competition: 2.00 scored, 1.20 conceded on average. Lask Linz away: 2.60 scored, 1.20 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Ried: P. Pomer (4), I. Kiese Thelin (4); Lask Linz: C. Lang (7), S. Adeniran (6).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.39, best 1.43. That price implies about 72%, our estimate is 76%. We see an edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.58 | 5.81 |
| Draw | 4.64 | 4.90 |
| Away | 1.46 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.39 | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.81 | 2.88 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.52 | 1.57 |
| BTTS — no | 2.37 | 2.42 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 76% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.39, best 1.43 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 3.7 goals based on both teams' form and xG.