Over 2.5 missed ✗ · Confidence 65%
👀 Alternative: Away team under 1.5 goals · 62% ✓ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Sporting CP vs Moreirense. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). Sporting CP recently scores 1.90 and concedes 1.10 per game (xG 2.38). Moreirense — 1.10 scored, 1.60 conceded (xG 0.87). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 2.8. Form edge to Sporting CP. H2H average total is 2.60 goals. Sporting CP sit 6 places higher in the table.
| Metric | Sporting CP | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.90 | 1.10 |
| Concedes | 1.10 | 1.60 |
| xG | 2.38 | 0.87 |
| xGA | 0.99 | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% |
| Pts/game | 2.00 | 1.30 |
Sporting CP — 3 of 18, 21 pts from 10 games, goals 23:11, form W-L-W-D-D (Champions League places). Moreirense — 9 of 18, 14 pts from 10 games, goals 13:17, form W-W-L-D-W.
Sporting CP at home in this competition: 2.20 scored, 1.40 conceded on average. Moreirense away: 1.20 scored, 1.60 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Sporting CP: L. Suárez (8), Flávio Gonçalves (3); Moreirense: N. John (3).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.42, best 1.44. That price implies about 70%, our estimate is 65%. The market rates it higher than we do — the price is not attractive.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 1.19 |
| Draw | 7.66 | 9.30 |
| Away | 14.05 | 18.00 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.42 | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.77 | 2.88 |
| BTTS — yes | 2.07 | 2.10 |
| BTTS — no | 1.68 | 1.70 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.42, best 1.44 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 2.8 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
By points per game the edge is with Sporting CP.
Teams: Sporting CP · Moreirense