Over 2.5 missed ✗ · Confidence 76%
👀 Alternative: Home team over 1.5 goals · 62% ✗ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for St. Truiden vs Brann. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 76%). St. Truiden recently scores 1.70 and concedes 1.70 per game (xG 2.33). Brann — 1.90 scored, 1.60 conceded (xG 2.35). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 4.5. Form edge to Brann.
| Metric | St. Truiden | Brann |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.70 | 1.90 |
| Concedes | 1.70 | 1.60 |
| xG | 2.33 | 2.35 |
| xGA | 1.83 | 2.56 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 80% |
| BTTS | 40% | 80% |
| Pts/game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
St. Truiden — 7 of 36, 6 pts from 2 games, goals 3:0, form W-W (Conference League places). Brann — 3 of 36, 6 pts from 2 games, goals 6:2, form W-W (Conference League places).
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Brann: N. Holm (3).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.54, best 1.57. That price implies about 65%, our estimate is 76%. We see an edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 1.75 |
| Draw | 3.98 | 4.20 |
| Away | 4.32 | 4.56 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.54 | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.42 | 2.55 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.54 | 1.57 |
| BTTS — no | 2.35 | 2.45 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 76% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.54, best 1.57 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 4.5 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
By points per game the edge is with Brann.
Teams: St. Truiden · Brann