Over 2.5 Final — lineups confirmed · Confidence 65%
SharpBet prediction for Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). Stade Brestois 29 recently scores 1.80 and concedes 1.40 per game (xG 2.12). Lyon — 1.50 scored, 1.20 conceded (xG 1.27). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 3.1. H2H average total is 2.80 goals. Lyon sit 7 places higher in the table.
| Metric | Stade Brestois 29 | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Concedes | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| xG | 2.12 | 1.27 |
| xGA | 1.46 | 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 60% |
| BTTS | 80% | 50% |
| Pts/game | 1.30 | 1.70 |
Stade Brestois 29 — 11 of 18, 12 pts from 9 games, goals 16:12, form W-L-D-W-L. Lyon — 4 of 18, 17 pts from 9 games, goals 15:7, form W-L-W-L-W.
Stade Brestois 29 at home in this competition: 2.00 scored, 1.50 conceded on average. Lyon away: 0.80 scored, 1.00 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Stade Brestois 29: L. Ajorque (4), K. Doumbia (4); Lyon: E. Nuamah (4).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.81, best 1.94. That price implies about 55%, our estimate is 65%. We see an edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 2.84 |
| Draw | 3.46 | 3.72 |
| Away | 2.48 | 2.55 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.81 | 1.94 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.03 | 2.12 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.62 | 1.67 |
| BTTS — no | 2.20 | 2.30 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.81, best 1.94 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 3.1 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
Teams: Stade Brestois 29 · Lyon