Torino win or draw (1X) hit ✓ · Confidence 67%
👀 Alternative: Over 2.5 · 65% ✗ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Torino vs Lecce. Main pick — Torino win or draw (1X) (confidence 67%). Torino recently scores 1.30 and concedes 1.50 per game (xG 1.19). Lecce — 1.10 scored, 2.10 conceded (xG 1.75). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 3.1. Form edge to Torino. H2H average total is 1.90 goals.
| Metric | Torino | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 1.30 | 1.10 |
| Concedes | 1.50 | 2.10 |
| xG | 1.19 | 1.75 |
| xGA | 1.61 | 1.59 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 70% |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% |
| Pts/game | 1.30 | 0.90 |
Torino — 10 of 20, 13 pts from 10 games, goals 14:16, form L-L-W-W-W. Lecce — 14 of 20, 9 pts from 10 games, goals 11:21, form L-L-L-W-L.
Torino at home in this competition: 1.40 scored, 2.00 conceded on average. Lecce away: 1.20 scored, 1.80 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Torino: C. Adams (4).
For our pick (Torino win or draw (1X)) the average price is 1.21, best 1.24. That price implies about 83%, our estimate is 67%. The market rates it higher than we do — the price is not attractive.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 1.87 |
| Draw | 3.62 | 3.84 |
| Away | 4.38 | 4.75 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.92 | 2.01 |
| Under 2.5 | 1.91 | 2.00 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.78 | 1.82 |
| BTTS — no | 1.96 | 2.15 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Torino win or draw (1X), 67% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.21, best 1.24 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 3.1 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
By points per game the edge is with Torino.