Over 2.5 total goals (both sides score and concede freely) missed ✗ · Confidence 66%
👀 Alternative: Home team over 1.5 goals · 62% ✗ (not in the main record)
Trabzonspor's home numbers are inflated by weaker opposition (Gaziantep, Rizespor, Hearts), but the attack is genuinely sharp. Freiburg concede regularly even against top sides like Bayern and Monaco, confirming a leaky defense. Both teams trend toward open, high-scoring football, supporting the over market. Main risk is Freiburg rotating for Bundesliga priorities, which could blunt their attacking threat.
SharpBet prediction for Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg. Main pick — Over 2.5 total goals (both sides score and concede freely) (confidence 66%). Trabzonspor recently scores 2.60 and concedes 0.70 per game (xG 1.99). SC Freiburg — 2.30 scored, 1.80 conceded (xG 1.25). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 3.1. Form edge to Trabzonspor. Trabzonspor sit 14 places higher in the table.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 2.60 | 2.30 |
| Concedes | 0.70 | 1.80 |
| xG | 1.99 | 1.25 |
| xGA | 1.09 | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 100% |
| BTTS | 20% | 80% |
| Pts/game | 2.40 | 1.90 |
Trabzonspor — 4 of 36, 6 pts from 2 games, goals 6:2, form W-W (Conference League places). SC Freiburg — 18 of 36, 3 pts from 2 games, goals 3:5, form L-W (Conference League places).
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Trabzonspor: Franculino Djú (5).
For our pick (Over 2.5 total goals (both sides score and concede freely)) the average price is 1.55, best 1.62. That price implies about 65%, our estimate is 66%. The estimates roughly match — no edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 2.51 |
| Draw | 3.58 | 3.75 |
| Away | 2.67 | 2.81 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.55 | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.36 | 2.47 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.46 | 1.50 |
| BTTS — no | 2.54 | 2.75 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5 total goals (both sides score and concede freely), 66% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.55, best 1.62 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 3.1 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
By points per game the edge is with Trabzonspor.
Teams: Trabzonspor · SC Freiburg