Over 2.5 missed ✗ · Confidence 65%
👀 Alternative: Away team under 1.5 goals · 62% ✓ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). Universitatea Craiova recently scores 2.50 and concedes 0.40 per game (xG 2.14). Egnatia Rrogozhinë — 1.60 scored, 1.00 conceded (xG 0.69). The numbers point to a low-scoring game — expected total ≈ 2.3. Form edge to Universitatea Craiova. Universitatea Craiova sit 9 places higher in the table.
| Metric | Universitatea Craiova | Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 2.50 | 1.60 |
| Concedes | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| xG | 2.14 | 0.69 |
| xGA | 0.48 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% |
| BTTS | 40% | 80% |
| Pts/game | 2.60 | 2.00 |
Universitatea Craiova — 11 of 36, 4 pts from 2 games, goals 4:2, form W-D (Conference League places). Egnatia Rrogozhinë — 20 of 36, 2 pts from 2 games, goals 2:2, form D-D (Conference League places).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.72, best 1.75. That price implies about 58%, our estimate is 65%. We see an edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| Draw | 4.40 | 4.70 |
| Away | 6.57 | 7.00 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.72 | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.10 | 2.15 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.84 | 1.88 |
| BTTS — no | 1.86 | 1.91 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.72, best 1.75 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 2.3 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
By points per game the edge is with Universitatea Craiova.
Teams: Universitatea Craiova · Egnatia Rrogozhinë