Over 2.5 missed ✗ · Confidence 69%
👀 Alternative: Home team over 1.5 goals · 62% ✗ (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 69%). VfB Stuttgart recently scores 2.10 and concedes 0.90 per game (xG 2.49). Werder Bremen — 1.90 scored, 2.40 conceded (xG 2.15). The numbers point to a high-scoring game — expected total ≈ 3.8. H2H average total is 2.80 goals. Werder Bremen sit 6 places higher in the table.
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 2.10 | 1.90 |
| Concedes | 0.90 | 2.40 |
| xG | 2.49 | 2.15 |
| xGA | 1.68 | 1.37 |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 80% |
| BTTS | 30% | 80% |
| Pts/game | 1.90 | 1.50 |
VfB Stuttgart — 11 of 18, 9 pts from 8 games, goals 14:15, form W-L-L-W-L. Werder Bremen — 5 of 18, 15 pts from 8 games, goals 17:14, form W-W-D-D-W (Europa League places).
VfB Stuttgart at home in this competition: 2.00 scored, 1.70 conceded on average. Werder Bremen away: 1.80 scored, 2.30 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): VfB Stuttgart: E. Demirović (5); Werder Bremen: N. Füllkrug (9).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.31, best 1.33. That price implies about 76%, our estimate is 69%. The market rates it higher than we do — the price is not attractive.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 1.65 |
| Draw | 4.66 | 4.99 |
| Away | 4.62 | 4.93 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.31 | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 3.31 | 3.40 |
| BTTS — yes | 1.37 | 1.40 |
| BTTS — no | 2.90 | 3.10 |
Odds from 10 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 69% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.31, best 1.33 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 3.8 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
Teams: VfB Stuttgart · Werder Bremen