Over 2.5 Preview · Confidence 65%
👀 Alternative: Home team over 1.5 goals · 62% (not in the main record)
SharpBet prediction for Zenit vs FC Rostov. Main pick — Over 2.5 (confidence 65%). Zenit recently scores 2.20 and concedes 1.00 per game (xG 3.03). FC Rostov — 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (xG 0.54). The numbers point to a low-scoring game — expected total ≈ 2.5. Form edge to Zenit. H2H average total is 2.10 goals. Zenit sit 5 places higher in the table.
| Metric | Zenit | FC Rostov |
|---|---|---|
| Scores | 2.20 | 1.50 |
| Concedes | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| xG | 3.03 | 0.54 |
| xGA | 0.77 | 0.72 |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 70% |
| BTTS | 60% | 20% |
| Pts/game | 2.80 | 1.60 |
Zenit — 1 of 16, 30 pts from 13 games, goals 30:13, form W-W-W-W-W. FC Rostov — 6 of 16, 18 pts from 13 games, goals 16:17, form W-W-D-W-L.
Zenit at home in this competition: 2.00 scored, 1.20 conceded on average. FC Rostov away: 1.10 scored, 1.50 conceded.
Top scorers in this competition (goals): Zenit: M. Glushenkov (10), A. Sobolev (10).
For our pick (Over 2.5) the average price is 1.77, best 1.81. That price implies about 56%, our estimate is 65%. We see an edge over the market.
| Outcome | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 1.38 |
| Draw | 4.98 | 5.28 |
| Away | 8.58 | 9.60 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.77 | 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.11 | 2.16 |
| BTTS — yes | 2.06 | 2.06 |
| BTTS — no | 1.69 | 1.70 |
Odds from 5 bookmakers at the time of the pick; the line may move before kick-off.
SharpBet's main pick is Over 2.5, 65% confidence.
Average price across bookmakers is 1.77, best 1.81 at the time of the pick.
Expected total ≈ 2.5 goals based on both teams' form and xG.
By points per game the edge is with Zenit.